X-OS Y-OS ln(meritve_x) ln(ln(1/(1-F))) ------------- --------------- 12.8598499 -3 13.088457 -2 13.13838829 -1 13.15231239 -1 13.33007974 -1 13.41007445 0 13.4953659 0 13.53476835 0 13.60214777 1 13.6517591 1 | y = mx + b Y = 4.2524822041015495*X -57.193053142994565 ( R^2 = 0.970978145179628 ) m = 4.2524822041015495 b = -57.193053142994565 beta = m = 4.2524822041015495 alfa = exp(-b/beta) = exp(-(-57.193053142994565)/4.2524822041015495) = 693380.3116661686 |
rang_i pretoki[m^3/s] rang_i absolutna_max_tem - LJ rang_i VETER[km/h] rang_i let_padavine_v_mm 1 57406 1 29.6 1 32 1 953.9 2 75806 2 30.8 2 35 2 998.1 3 81806 3 31 3 36 3 1041.4 4 95106 4 31.2 4 36 4 1091 5 99706 5 31.3 5 36 5 1107.1 6 112006 6 31.4 6 37 6 1118.6 7 112006 7 31.8 7 37 7 1140.8 8 114006 8 32 8 38 8 1149.2 9 123006 9 32 9 39 9 1176.5 10 147006 10 32 10 40 10 1178.3 11 32.2 11 41 11 1181.9 12 32.2 12 42 12 1195.9 13 32.2 13 43 13 1211.1 14 32.5 14 43 14 1217.2 15 32.5 15 44 15 1229.9 16 32.6 16 44 16 1233.8 17 32.7 17 44 17 1265 18 32.7 18 45 18 1265.4 19 32.8 19 45 19 1270.2 20 32.8 20 45 20 1273.9 21 32.9 21 46 21 1287.8 22 32.9 22 46 22 1292.4 23 33.1 23 46 23 1301 24 33.1 24 48 24 1315.6 25 33.1 25 48 25 1327.7 26 33.2 26 49 26 1331.3 27 33.2 27 50 27 1336.9 28 33.2 28 50 28 1342.9 29 33.3 29 50 29 1359.2 30 33.3 30 51 30 1363.1 31 33.4 31 53 31 1371.5 32 33.5 32 53 32 1373.7 33 33.5 33 53 33 1395.1 34 33.5 34 53 34 1402.3 35 33.6 35 54 35 1403.3 36 33.7 36 56 36 1405.5 37 33.7 37 57 37 1406.7 38 33.8 38 59 38 1412 39 33.9 39 61 39 1418.4 40 34 40 62 40 1422.8 41 34.1 41 69 41 1423.7 42 34.2 42 76 42 1424.6 43 34.2 43 1432.5 44 34.3 44 1435.1 45 34.7 45 1438 46 34.7 46 1441.6 47 34.9 47 1442.9 48 34.9 48 1446.4 49 34.9 49 1454.7 50 35 50 1469.1 51 35.2 51 1474.7 52 35.3 52 1476.9 53 35.6 53 1490.2 54 35.9 54 1500.7 55 35.9 55 1527.8 56 36 56 1535 57 36.5 57 1605.5 58 36.5 58 1606.9 59 37 59 1610.6 60 37.1 60 1696.1 61 37.1 61 1771.6 62 37.3 62 1797.9 63 37.6 63 1847.5 ----------------------------- a=0.44 www.hurricaneengineering.lsu.edu/.../03Lect4DesignWind.ppt http://www.google.com/url?sa=t&rct=j&q=&esrc=s&source=web&cd=9&ved=0CHgQFjAI&url=http%3A%2F%2Fwww.hurricaneengineering.lsu.edu%2FCourseMat%2F03Lect4DesignWind.ppt&ei=oGgMUNPJB8eA4gSszMTDCg&usg=AFQjCNEWasI8cTDKjjCt6LVwKJkEF-XlfQ Gust speed (hitrost vetra) v mph 40.97 45.4 46.46 47.97 47.97 48.57 48.57 49.97 50.68 51.74 51.74 52.8 52.8 53.85 53.85 53.96 54.91 62.3 67.58 76.03 a=0.44 T[leta] Veter 1.1 44 2 51.7 5 58.8 10 63.5 25 69.4 50 73.8 100 78.2 250 83.9 500 88.2 1000 92.6 2500 98.3 Kako podnebno je raznolika Slovenija lepo kaže zgornji graf, ko maksimalne letne vsote padavin v Veržeju (SV) nikoli ne presežejo minimalnih letnih vsot v kraju SOČA (SZ). leto SOČA_padavine_v_mm SORTIRANE_padavine_v_mm VERŽEJ-padavine_v_mm SORTIRAN_Verzej 1948 2122 1216.5 1949 2256.9 1664.9 1950 2678.6 1748 1951 3418.5 1774.1 980.2 569.6 1952 3016.9 1903.2 862 577.7 1953 1216.5 1927 720.4 603.8 1954 2861.9 1961.3 814.3 642.5 1955 2108.9 1990.5 869.5 655.8 1956 2131.7 2014.1 848.9 661.2 1957 2288.9 2027.8 774.4 684 1958 2676.2 2047.2 852.7 706.7 1959 2526.5 2072.2 876.5 707.6 1960 3476.4 2080.8 892.3 709.2 1961 2367.6 2100.2 835.9 714.4 1962 2313.6 2108.9 1022.2 714.9 1963 2771 2119.7 869.1 714.9 1964 2238.3 2122 908.7 720.4 1965 3196.8 2131.7 1037.8 727.5 1966 2080.8 2137.5 1180.7 739.2 1967 2332.2 2149.2 792.7 767.6 1968 2845 2195.8 661.2 770.9 1969 2386.4 2229.8 912.8 774.4 1970 2294.1 2233.8 847.9 775.5 1971 2014.1 2238.3 569.6 792.7 1972 2273.7 2240.6 1064.3 800 1973 2027.8 2256.9 808 800.6 1974 2137.5 2273.7 851.6 808 1975 2363.3 2286.2 767.6 814.3 1976 2119.7 2288.9 714.9 835.9 1977 2375.9 2294.1 714.9 839.2 1978 2497 2313.6 707.6 845.9 1979 2935.4 2332.2 949 847.9 1980 2399.1 2363.3 893.4 848.9 1981 1748 2367.6 739.2 851.6 1982 2686.3 2375.9 920 852.7 1983 1961.3 2386.4 603.8 854.5 1984 2229.8 2399.1 800 855.8 1985 2586.6 2497 912.1 862 1986 1774.1 2526.5 854.5 869.1 1987 2751.4 2541 995.1 869.5 1988 2047.2 2546.8 727.5 876.5 1989 1990.5 2586.6 775.5 892.3 1990 2842.7 2676.2 845.9 893.4 1991 2707.7 2678.6 855.8 899.7 1992 2896.5 2686.3 714.4 908.7 1993 2240.6 2707.7 684 912.1 1994 2072.2 2737.2 948 912.8 1995 1903.2 2751.4 917.2 917.2 1996 2737.2 2771 934.7 920 1997 2286.2 2842.7 706.7 934.7 1998 2546.8 2845 943.2 940.4 1999 2233.8 2861.9 1006.9 941 2000 3758.5 2863.7 655.8 943.2 2001 2863.7 2868.8 709.2 948 2002 2541 2896.5 770.9 949 2003 2149.2 2935.4 577.7 950.9 2004 3047.5 3016.9 839.2 980.2 2005 1664.9 3047.5 941 995.1 2006 2100.2 3129.1 940.4 1003.5 2007 2195.8 3196.8 899.7 1006.9 2008 3239.8 3239.8 800.6 1022.2 2009 2868.8 3418.5 1003.5 1037.8 2010 3129.1 3476.4 950.9 1064.3 2011 1927 3758.5 642.5 1180.7 ------------------------------------------------------ Kako so lahko kratki nizi meritev zavajujoči - kaže primer poplav v Železnikih - datum: 2007-09-18. Če odstranimo ta datum, dobimo za dnevne padavine (okrog) 200 mm povratno dobo 10000 let (do ledene dobe). S podatkom iz leta 2007 pa "samo" dobrih 1000 let. leto Železniki_max_padavine_v_mm SORTIRANE_Železniki_max_padavine_v_mm 1945 103.2 56.5 1946 64.5 58.2 1947 96.7 60.8 1948 114.5 63.5 1949 86.5 64.5 1950 56.5 65.3 1951 99 65.7 1952 78 66.4 1953 94 66.5 1954 63.5 66.5 1955 66.5 68 1956 75.9 69.5 1957 66.5 69.6 1958 90.5 69.8 1959 76.5 72.5 1960 85.8 72.6 1961 103 74.3 1962 77.5 74.4 1963 105 74.8 1964 99.5 74.9 1965 102.7 75.1 1966 81 75.9 1967 69.8 75.9 1968 77.7 76.3 1969 92.5 76.5 1970 92.1 76.5 1971 75.9 76.5 1972 65.7 76.8 1973 76.3 76.9 1974 69.5 77.2 1975 96.2 77.5 1976 74.8 77.5 1977 74.3 77.7 1978 76.8 78 1979 86.5 78 1980 90.7 78.6 1981 60.8 81 1982 78.6 84.5 1983 74.9 85.1 1984 75.1 85.8 1985 85.1 86.5 1986 88 86.5 1987 96.3 88 1988 93.7 90.5 1989 115.8 90.7 1990 101.2 91.2 1991 77.5 92.1 1992 118.3 92.1 1993 78 92.5 1994 74.4 93.7 1995 106.5 94 1996 77.2 96.2 1997 84.5 96.3 1998 92.1 96.7 1999 76.9 99 2000 112.4 99.5 2001 76.5 101.2 2002 58.2 102.7 2003 65.3 103 2004 72.5 103.2 2005 69.6 105 2006 76.5 106.5 2007 197.2 112.4 2008 66.4 114.5 2009 91.2 115.8 2010 118.1 118.1 2011 68 118.3 2012 72.6 197.2 . http://ponce.sdsu.edu/textbookhydrologyp548.html http://ponce.sdsu.edu/onlinegumbeltable.html http://ponce.sdsu.edu/onlinegumbel.php